Tuesday, February 3, 2026

The Gap in Immigration Attitudes

 The Hypocrisy Gap in Immigration Attitudes

Public opinion on immigration often splits in two: people support deporting "illegal immigrants" in the abstract, but oppose deporting the specific ones they know personally—like the gardener, the neighbor, the pastor, or the hardworking family.
  • Am honest friend once described himself as "a Republican in theory, but a Democrat in practice." He wants welfare cuts... just not for people he knows. He favors harsher punishment for criminals... except for the prisoners he sometimes works with, for whom he wants more mercy.
  • Another friend was genuinely upset when his long-time gardener—a pastor in a Spanish-language church—was deported. Yet when asked if he supports open borders, he said no.
This pattern isn't rare. People tend to like individuals but dislike the collective category they belong to.The Same Pattern Shows Up EverywhereThis "theory vs. practice" disconnect appears in many areas of American life:
  • Drugs — Strong support for drug laws in general, but reluctance to turn in friends or family who use.
  • Public schools — "The schools are failing," except "my kids' school is good."
  • Congress — "Congress is terrible," but "my representative is doing a fine job."
  • Personal vs. national outlook — Recent Gallup polls show ~81% of Americans are satisfied with their own lives, while only ~20% feel the same about the direction of the country.
  • Healthcare costs — About 57% are satisfied with what they personally pay for healthcare, but only ~16–20% are satisfied with U.S. healthcare costs overall.
  • Speeding laws — Broad support for the rules, but widespread frustration with speed cameras that enforce them.
Applying It to Immigration and Deportation
Most people who say they want closed borders aren't actually for open borders. Many of the protesters in places like Minnesota likely aren't demanding unrestricted entry—they're simply reacting against Trump (which is understandable given the polarization).Yet if someone truly wants controlled borders and effective enforcement (via ICE or a similar agency), they should be prepared for deportations that will inevitably include sympathetic cases: the long-term resident earning U.S.-level wages, the Chinese Christian family risking everything on the dangerous trek north, or the Honduran group holding prayer meetings and religious services along the journey.In my view, it can be more cruel to block someone who has spent their life savings to reach the border than to deport someone who has already built a life here. Loss aversion makes the latter feel worse, but the former is often the harsher outcome in reality.A Quick Aside on Politics and PersonnelTrump, Stephen Miller, Kristi Noem, Tom Homan (assuming Bovino refers to a similar figure), and others should arguably be removed from immigration roles if they publicly comment on specific deaths (like those of Alex Pretti and Renee Nicole Good) before trials conclude. Statements like that risk alienating voters and undermining broader support for increased deportations—the very goal they claim to pursue.Bottom LineAmericans are remarkably optimistic about their own circumstances while pessimistic about the nation as a whole. The same selective empathy applies to immigration: deport "them" in theory, but not the ones we see as individuals.The U.S. is still a remarkable country—capable, in my outlier opinion, of absorbing very large numbers of immigrants annually. A realistic compromise might be a large-scale guest-worker program, but that's a separate debate.In the meantime, for some counter-doom perspective, check out the "Doomslayer" compilation: 1,084 Reasons the World Isn’t Falling Apart from Human Progress. It's a useful reminder that things aren't collapsing as fast as the headlines suggest.What do you think—does this "I like my X, but hate the category" pattern explain more political contradictions than we usually admit?

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Tyler Cowen Asks Why the Democrats are Fading.

Their policies have been tried and found to fail. Anti-police rhetoric and riot excuse making lead to a 30% increase in murder. The poor are no longer poor by consumption but still commit violent crime at twice the rate of the non poor and still don't do as well in school.

They, the party of peace, failed to deter war in Ukraine or negotiate out of it.

The people that they have sympathy for, the Gaza Palestinians lashed out in crazy and violent way.

The only thing that they have going for them is the craziness of the Trumpians and the weakness of Trump as a candidate and memories of Trump are fading.

Democratic Socialism

 Democratic means every person gets a vote.

Socialism means common ownership of everything.

So the voters have taken control over what can be built near them and have for very frivolous reasons blocked building driving up the cost of living.

Socialism means you have no property rights and no economic rights.

More Democratic Socialism is not the solution to high cost of living especially concerning housing.

Thursday, September 4, 2025

Recipe for Italian Pepper Biscuits

Pepper biscuits


1 ½ t yeast

237 grams warm water

580 grams flour

1 t salt/about 7 grams

3 t coarsely ground black peppercorns (I use a mortar and pestle)

1 t crushed red pepper

1 t Fennel seed

200 grams olive oil


Dissolve yeast in water. 

Add flour, salt, pepper, crushed red pepper, fennel seed onto a mixer. Mix for about a minute and stop. This is because dough should not be completely uniform so that the final product will have varying texture.

Add the oil and mix until everything is incorporated but the dough should not be uniform. 


Remove from the mixer and knead for a few minutes.


Place in oiled bowl, turn to coat, cover with a towel and let rise until doubled in bulk.

Preheat the oven to 400º. 


Split the dough into 32 pieces and roll into ropes about 6 inches long. 

Place on a baking sheet and let rise for 20 minutes.

Brush with oil, sprinkle with coarsely ground salt and bake for 12 to 15 minutes or until lightly browned.


Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Designing Better Health Insurance

I've been thinking of taking a shot at designing a health insurance plan closer to ideal. 

So far:

These are without regard to whether it is provided by Government or through an insurance company or some other organization.

It should be lifetime.

It should probably cover prenatal care and trauma care as preventive care.

If it were non-Government issued insurance this brings up the issue of when to sign up for it. Mothers would have to select into a plan at first sign of pregnancy or Government could subsidize those born with an expensive lifetime condition or who contract one before adulthood.

It should include a death benefit, disability insurance and cover long term care. The death benefit should decrease with age.

It should not pay for small things like MD appointments but should pay for and or require preventive care that has solid evidence of net reduction of disease.

The contract should start at conception or rather when the mother becomes aware that she is pregnant.

For a person/family with median age lifetime income and median lifetime healthcare it should pay for nothing until they get over median lifetime expenditures exceed median lifetime expenditure. Some subsidy of low earners might be needed.

It should do something along the lines of price negotiation for emergency care on behalf of the customer.

If a person goes outside the US for care they should get some of the savings.

If a patient forgoes some care, say at the end of life they should be rewarded like in Singapore.


I will add to this post as I think of more issues.

A Political Science Mystery

It seems to me that the populations of Vermont and North Dakota are very similar. Both are rural states with significant farm sectors. I'd guess that that the voters in those states prefer similar policy, so I am mystified that Vermont voted 64.4% for Harris and very similar North Dakota voted 67.5% for Trump.
What's up with that?

Thursday, December 26, 2024

The Slowing

We saw a slowing of per capita growth and an increase in income and wealth inequality starting in the early 1970's.

I present a few things that might be driving this trend.

One accelerating inflation

The 1970 was the end of a long period of accelerating inflation. Accelerating or unexpected inflation tends to help what I call commodity labor (that is worker that do jobs that almost anyone can do with a few hours of training).

This is because it fools businesses to thinking there is more demand for their products than there is and so to hire more employees.

Part 2 NIMBY

Some have contended that the reduction of Government action in the 1970's slowed economic growth and increased income inequality and lower quality of life for bottom 30% of earners. but it appears to that NIMBYism and a reduction in law enforcement are primarily to blame.

Here's an anonymous quote on the subject:

"Seeing the price of TVs falling down and down- and understanding that was capitalism." "Seeing the price of a flat in London going up and up and up- but being told this was also capitalism"

NIMBY has made it more expensive to build anything. Bryan Caplan says the top economist studying the rise in housing costs estimate that the typical US home is 2x as expensive due to NIMBY. NIMBY, though mostly a left generated movement is even slowing the expansion of green power.

Letting NIMBY's block owners from building is transferring some ownership to voters. In the 1970's people started to gain power to stop even residential building.

Here is Matt Rognelie of Massachusetts Institute of Technology answering the question of what is driving the growth in inequality he lands on NIMBY.

Not only does NIMBY make housing more expensive but also construction is large employer of men without college degrees and has historically paid more than the manufacturing jobs. 

It also increases inequality by keeping low earners from moving to places where pay is higher.

3 Crime

There was a rapid increase in measured crime and disorder in the mid 1960s. It might be measurement error (some contend that murders with Black victims were under reported prior to 1965), but it might be partly due to the Democratic, in attempt to reduce police and prison brutality went more with reduced sentences and getting criminals off, to punish the system rather than focusing all their efforts on reforming police and prisons. leading to more crime in poor areas degrading life and increasing divides that would impact inequality in standard of living. BTW it might even be that more police would lead to less abuse rather than more.