If you thought that state level politicians were completely corrupt and
ruthless, and did not care about the people at all, and 50% of healthcare
spending came from the federal Government (and it does), you might expect the state
politicians to regulate in a way that would increase the income of
the health workers in their states.
Now I do not think state level
politicians were very corrupt and ruthless, but it is interesting that they seem to regulate healthcare in a way looks like was designed to exactly that.
Thursday, July 7, 2016
Tuesday, June 28, 2016
Monday, June 13, 2016
Drug laws and Prison Populations
People are often over or underestimate the impacts of drug laws on incarceration rates.
Nevertheless reducing state prison populations by 18% and federal prison populations by about 50% would be a big improvement. Also some crime is due to the high price of drugs that would be very cheap if they were legal.
I also think our sentences are too long for most other crimes. Restitution should be used for property crime, home imprisonment with ankle bracelets and supervision should used for those who committed violent crimes but are low risk to commit again (an argument can even be made for more corporal punishment over prison see here: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2011/06/in-favor-of-flogging.html). Long sentences are not a good replacement for good enforcement and are expensive.
Again I would completely legalize all drugs and enable the sale of medicine (except antibiotics for which I would require a prescription and/or a test to get.) with out requiring a prescription.
Here are the number: "Among sentenced prisoners under State jurisdiction in 2008, 18 percent were sentenced for drug offences and only 6 percent were incarcerated for drug possession alone."
Here is 538 on the same: "Releasing Drug Offenders Won’t End Mass Incarceration"
Here are some Federal Bureau of Prisons statistics.
Nevertheless reducing state prison populations by 18% and federal prison populations by about 50% would be a big improvement. Also some crime is due to the high price of drugs that would be very cheap if they were legal.
I also think our sentences are too long for most other crimes. Restitution should be used for property crime, home imprisonment with ankle bracelets and supervision should used for those who committed violent crimes but are low risk to commit again (an argument can even be made for more corporal punishment over prison see here: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2011/06/in-favor-of-flogging.html). Long sentences are not a good replacement for good enforcement and are expensive.
Again I would completely legalize all drugs and enable the sale of medicine (except antibiotics for which I would require a prescription and/or a test to get.) with out requiring a prescription.
Wednesday, June 1, 2016
What I expect Parents would Demand from Schools if they were not Run by Government
Expecting parents and students to select the schools that provide the Best Educations through a voucher program is like expecting food stamp recipients to use free market judgement to select the healthiest food in the supermarket.
I am against vouchers because but I do think we should experiment charging he non-poor for each child that they put in Government schools based on their income but..
I would expect parents to select schools that serve their wants most. Like:
1. School that are open 7:00 am-6:00 pm for daycare before and after classes.
2. Schools open in the summer.
3. Schools that handle most problems on site without calls to parents.
4. Schools that do not charge too much. (IMHO we in the USA spend way to much on schooling.)
5. Schools that teach what the parents want on religious issues like evolution.
6. Sports.
7. An middling education. (In Korea children go to school from 8:00 am to 10: pm, we are not that schooling crazy in the USA.) Schooling adds less that most people think.
This would be good.
Also it is a wonder that private schools flunk anyone at all but they do.
I am against vouchers because but I do think we should experiment charging he non-poor for each child that they put in Government schools based on their income but..
I would expect parents to select schools that serve their wants most. Like:
1. School that are open 7:00 am-6:00 pm for daycare before and after classes.
2. Schools open in the summer.
3. Schools that handle most problems on site without calls to parents.
4. Schools that do not charge too much. (IMHO we in the USA spend way to much on schooling.)
5. Schools that teach what the parents want on religious issues like evolution.
6. Sports.
7. An middling education. (In Korea children go to school from 8:00 am to 10: pm, we are not that schooling crazy in the USA.) Schooling adds less that most people think.
This would be good.
Also it is a wonder that private schools flunk anyone at all but they do.
The Stationary Bandit Model of Government
KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON has an article at the link were he discusses the stationary bandit model of Government.
The Public Sector: Standing in Our Way until We Pay Up
To me it looks like Government in most of the developed countries conform pretty well to the stationary bandit model, with the bandits being the median voter, but with lots of scams mixed in by which the median voter is scammed by the politicians.
The median voter is like the mob demanding things, but the politicians are like corrupt accountants messing with the books to hide what is really going on. Intelligent, high SES Democrats are happy with the Politicians scamming the people (things like hidden matching FICA) because they think it is for the good. They think what the voters do not know allows for more charity for the poor (the average US citizen thinks he pays into SS and that everyone gets out of SS in direct potion to what they pay in, even though the low earners get more that double high earners per dollar they were taxed). Intelligent Republicans do not like it so much but know fighting it too much is a losing proposition.
The Public Sector: Standing in Our Way until We Pay Up
To me it looks like Government in most of the developed countries conform pretty well to the stationary bandit model, with the bandits being the median voter, but with lots of scams mixed in by which the median voter is scammed by the politicians.
The median voter is like the mob demanding things, but the politicians are like corrupt accountants messing with the books to hide what is really going on. Intelligent, high SES Democrats are happy with the Politicians scamming the people (things like hidden matching FICA) because they think it is for the good. They think what the voters do not know allows for more charity for the poor (the average US citizen thinks he pays into SS and that everyone gets out of SS in direct potion to what they pay in, even though the low earners get more that double high earners per dollar they were taxed). Intelligent Republicans do not like it so much but know fighting it too much is a losing proposition.
Retire Earlier Die Earlier?
Surprisingly people seem to die earlier when they retire earlier (link below) and this seems especially true for blue collar workers. This weakens the argument that waiting longer to retire is very hard on the blue collar workers.
http://www.freakonomics.com/2012/05/17/retirement-kills-a-new-marketplace-podcast/
http://www.webmd.com/healthy-aging/news/20051020/early-retirement-early-death
http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/PreventiveCare/1980
Friday, May 20, 2016
Comments on Washington Post Story Linking Trump to Fascism
This is how fascism comes to America
I am unhappy about Trumps success but it seems ridiculous to call him Fascist.Who you call fascist of course depends on what you call fascism.
Democrats agree highly with the fascist model of economics, that is that Government should guide and push that economy, that Gov. should be allowed to push business around to provide for the people but that does **NOT** make them close to Fascists. They are not into persecuting people, not even white males, for what they are and though they are nationalistic when it comes to trade and Government charity (SNAP, TANF, SS, Medicaid, Medicare etc.) but they are not dangerously so.
Trump is just a little more nationalistic than the Democrats are and about the same on economics, though he is for less charity and more for work, and more for building great projects.
Trump is also just a little bit more nationalistic on immigration, Hillary and crew are hardly for open open borders.
Being pretty pro-freedom myself I am happy with neither but I do not think that we are about to plunge in Fascism.
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My reply:
The median income will always afford the median home.
If every wife worked for in home consumption rather than in the taxed economy the median home might be smaller and the median meal have a little less meat or fish and the median air conditioner be set a little higher in summer and heat lower in winter, median shoes a little cheaper, and people would eat out a little less but we could certainly afford it.